Building
Argus System
The Argus System trains LLMs to reason about everything humanity has yet to achieve and what does not yet exist.
For the frontier and the unprecedented, LLMs may inadvertently bias toward the past. I need a system that helps me think through paradigm shifts.
The approach is an aggressively curated set of epistemological frameworks designed to guide LLMs toward reasoning about future world states rather than pattern-matching on historical ones.
A secondary goal of creating the system is to integrate these frameworks into my own thinking, and build a more structured and rigorous default for how I reason through complexity and the unknown.
I'm trying to teach the system how to think rather than what to think.
First-Principles Reduction, Mechanism-First, Map vs. Territory, Selection Effects on Evidence, Bayesian Updating, Constraint Relaxation, Adjacent Possible (Kauffman), S-Curve Diffusion, Capability Overhang, Counterfactual / Modal Reasoning, Pre-Mortem, Physical Ceiling Check, Ergodicity (Peters), Thiel Secret, Inversion, Hanson's Missing Thing, Intellectual Dark Matter (Burja), Winner-Takes-More, Moat Taxonomy, Second-Order Effects and Reflexivity, Friction vs. Value
The approach is an aggressively curated set of epistemological frameworks designed to guide LLMs toward reasoning about future world states rather than pattern-matching on historical ones.
A secondary goal of creating the system is to integrate these frameworks into my own thinking, and build a more structured and rigorous default for how I reason through complexity and the unknown.
I'm trying to teach the system how to think rather than what to think.
First-Principles Reduction, Mechanism-First, Map vs. Territory, Selection Effects on Evidence, Bayesian Updating, Constraint Relaxation, Adjacent Possible (Kauffman), S-Curve Diffusion, Capability Overhang, Counterfactual / Modal Reasoning, Pre-Mortem, Physical Ceiling Check, Ergodicity (Peters), Thiel Secret, Inversion, Hanson's Missing Thing, Intellectual Dark Matter (Burja), Winner-Takes-More, Moat Taxonomy, Second-Order Effects and Reflexivity, Friction vs. Value